Purchasing Power Parity and Real Exchange Rate
It is possible to suggest an interpretation of PPP in
terms of RER. The instantaneous response of the profit-seeking international
arbitrageurs implies that net exports are extremely sensitive to small
movements in the RER.
A slight drop in the prices of
domestic goods relative to foreign goods — or, what comes to the same thing, a
marginal fall in RER — induces arbitrageurs to buy goods in the home country
(where prices are low) and sell them in foreign countries (where prices are
high). The converse is also true.
A slight increase in the relative
price of domestic goods induces arbitrageurs to import the same goods. This
means that the net export schedule NX(er) is almost horizontal
(completely elastic) at the RER that equalises purchasing power among the
nations.
A slight drop in the RER leads to a
substantial increase in net exports. This very fact ensures that the
equilibrium RER is very close to the level ensuring purchasing power parity.
This relation always holds.
Theory and
Evidence of PPP:
The PPP is not
very realistic the following two points may be noted in this context:
(i) Non-traded
goods:
There are various
non-traded goods and services such as haircuts. There is no scope of arbitrage
even if prices differ across national borders. A barber from London cannot go
to New York every now and then to earn more even if a haircut in New York is
more expensive than in London.
(ii)
Substitutability:
Furthermore,
traded goods are relative prices of Rolls Royce and Ford cars can vary to some
extent due to differences in tastes. This means that there is hardly any
opportunity for making profits through arbitrage operations.
For these reasons,
real exchange rates may and often do vary over time. However, the PPP doctrine
provides a very important insight the fluctuations in the RER are very small
and do not last for long. The reason is easy to find out the farther the RER
deviates from the level predicted by purchasing power parity, the stronger is
the incentive for individuals to engage in international arbitrage.
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