Friday, October 19, 2012

Are Poor Really Hungry in India?



What are the Facts?The Authentic Voice of the Poor
NSS 38th Round in 1983, as well as NSS 50th Round in (1993-94) and NSS 55th Round in (1999-2000) had direct questions on Hunger that allow a clear answers from the sufferers. The NSS questions on hunger were,
·         Do all members of your households get two square meal/enough food every day?
·         If not, then during which calendar months did you or other members of the household not have enough food every day? The number of months indicated by the household was recorded.
The proportion of households that were hungry during any part of the year by this definition[i] was 15.7 percent in 1983, 4.5 percent in 1993-94 and only 2 per cent in 1999-2000. In terms of individuals assuming that every person in the household was hungry, the estimate that the number of hungry people declined from 15.7 per cent of the total population (101million) in 1983 to 4.4 percent of population ( 37 million) in 1993-94 and further 2 per cent of the population (18.5) million in 1999-2000. It is useful to look at numbers in relation to poverty because logically the number of hungry people must be a fraction of the poor for any reasonable definition of poverty.
More formally the line defining the very poor or hungry must logically lie below the poverty line. Thus the hunger ratio must be lower than the poverty ratio. The ratio of very poor / hungry to the poor may decline, stay constant or rise, depending on the distribution of consumption in the lower half of the distribution.
NSS data reveal that the consumption distribution has consistently improved for the bottom 40 per cent of the population over time as can be seen in the table-3. The consumption of course has increased  of the bottom 40 percent of the population from 22 percent in 1972-73 to 24 per cent in 1999 -2000 but still people are hungry and a sizable number are poor. It is a matter of great sadness and shame for the nation. Therefore, serious efforts are needed to achieve the food security at the national level. This is also essential in the light of the facts that India is committed to achieve the target set under MGDs. The proposed Food Security Bill is a great hope in this direction. Before we discuss the provisions and implications of the Food Security Bill it will be better if we devote some time for understanding the concept of the Food Security.
Table: 3 Rural Consumption Distribution (NSS 30 Day Recall)


       Year
Cumulative percentage of Rural Population
Poverty HCR
Percentage
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Cumulative Consumption Distribution
Rural
Total
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100


1972-73
3.7
8.9
15.0
22.0
30.1
38.7
49.1
60.5
74.8
100
56.5
54.9
1977-78
3.5
8.4
14.3
20.8
28.4
36.7
46.2
57.6
71.7
100
53.1
51.3
1983
3.8
9.0
15.2
22.1
30.2
39.2
49.2
60.9
75.5
100
45.6
44.7
1987-1988
4.1
9.5
15.8
22.9
30.7
39.7
49.6
61.5
74.7
100
39.1
38.6
1993-1994
4.1
9.6
16.0
23.1
31.1
40.0
50.1
61.7
75.8
100
37.3
36.2
1999-2000
4.4
10.1
16.7
24.1
32.8
41.9
52.1
63.8
77.8
100
27.1
26.2






















 Source: P.D. Joshi Changing Pattern of Consumption Expenditure in India and some selected states Sarvekshana Analytical Report No. 2 (July 1998) and NSS.


[i]This is the authentic voice of the poor in India.




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