Wednesday, May 10, 2017

Controversies in Macroeconomics: (4) Supply side Economics:


Supply side Economics: 

Supply side Economics:  Keynesians Aggregate demand management policy influenced US policy   nearly about four decades and then it was challenged by the monetarists, the rational expectationists, and supply-siders. Monetarists believe in appropriate control over money supply will help foster the conditions necessary for the growth of a healthy economy. In the short run changes in the stock of money are crucially important in determining fluctuating real output and employment. In the long run, however, the quantity of money can only influence nominal gross national product (GNP). Real Income is affected by many of the same elements that supply side, neo classical economists emphasise.
In 1970s a new group known as Supply Side economists became popular. The supply-siders derived their name from the importance they placed on aggregate supply (AS) in contrast to the Keynesians who emphasised at least in the short-run on aggregate demand (AD). The most famous supply-sider is  Arthur Laffer with became famous with his Laffer curve showing how a cut in tax rates can increase the government’s revenue. Other leading economists in this school are Paul Craig Roberts, Jack Kemp and Michael Boskin. Paul Craig Robert (1978) believes higher tax cause work effort, savings and investment to decline. Supply-siders believe that tax rate policies have important short-run effects on natural output and aggregate supply. They believe that a rise in tax rate may lower economic incentives to produce goods and services. In short, people change their behaviour in response to changes in after tax wages and interest rates. Thus, like Keynesians Supply-siders believe in the effectiveness of fiscal policy but they emphasise the shift in natural output line and the aggregate supply curve.  Keynesians on the other hand emphasise shift in aggregate demand curve  to them the aggregate supply curve is stationary. The chief policy proposal of the supply-siders is to lower the tax rate to shift the aggregate supply curve and to lower the inflation. In macroeconomics supply side economics has never been much popular put the tax cut policies were tried in many countries for quite some time during 1970s. The supply-siders believed that the effects of fiscal policy changes are quick and substantial in magnitude. The lower tax rate will shift natural output and aggregate supply curve to the right with little or no effect on aggregate demand curve. As a result of this shift in the As curve the inflation will be lower with higher real output.

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