Saturday, May 13, 2017

Define National Income.

Define National Income

Prior to Keynes both Adam Smith and David Ricardo took a note of the problem of National Income but their faith in Say’s Law was so strong that they could not think of any economy operating below its capacity. Since the equilibrium at full employment level was guaranteed classical economists turned to matter related to microeconomics.

In 1929 the world experienced the biggest, deepest and the most prolonged depression also known as the Great Economic Depression. Say’s law began to weaken. At this juncture Keynes appeared on the stage with less than full employment equilibrium level of national income.  This increased the interest in the study of aggregate income consumption and employment. The subject has further gained in interest and importance as a result of the quest for rapid economic development in less developed countries of the world. This entirely shifted the focus of the economists from micro to macro issues related to the economy as a whole. The problems which now became significant were: What determines the level of total output and employment in an economy. And what cause fluctuations in this level from time to time? In order to understand the concept it is better to start with its definitions:

The essential things are to realize how it is defined in each case and to choose the most definition for any particular purpose. National income has been defined by many economists. Definitions, as given by Marshall, Pigou and Fisher, are in order.

Marshall is his Principles of Economics has defined national income or the National dividend as follows:
“The labour and capital of a country, acting on its natural resources, produce annually a certain net aggregate of commodities, material and immaterial, including services of all kinds and net income due on account of foreign investments must be added in. This is the true net annual income or revenue of the country, or the national dividend.”  (Principles of Economics, 1920, p. 434)

No doubt, Marshall’s definition is theoretically precise, simple and comprehensive; even then it has serious practical limitations;
(i)                It is not easy to make statistically correct estimate of the total production of goods and services in a country.
(ii)              There are difficulties of double counting.
(iii)            Marshall’s definition is too broad.
(iv)            The definition classifies goods and services in to material and immaterial.
(v)              Some commodities produced in the country are not traded some of the portion of the produce is retained for personal consumption.

A.C. Pigou, has defined national income as:
National dividend is “that part of the objective income of the community including, of course, income derived from abroad, which can be measured in money …”  ( The Economics of Welfare, 1932, p.31)
According to Prof. Pigou, only those goods and services should be included (double counting being avoided) that are actually sold for money.

Pigou’s definition is precise, convenient, elastic and workable because it does away with the difficulty of measuring the national income dividend inherent in Marshall’s definition. Therefore this is better than Marshall’s definition. Pigou’s definition also has certain limitations:
(i)                 This definition makes an artificial distinction between goods that are exchanged for money and goods that are not so exchanged. The bought and the un bought goods do not differ in kinds from one another in any fundamental respect.
(ii)              As per Pigou’s definition, we cannot find the total amount of national dividend because we are to include only those goods and services that are exchanged for money. In a developing country, where most of the goods and services are not exchanged for money but simply bartered away, Pigou’s definition is of no use.
(iii)            Pigou Narrows down the scope of National income
(iv)            This definition includes the income derived from  abroad and thus relates to an open economy.
(v)              Pigou’s definition cannot be applied to a barter economy.

Prof. Fisher adopts consumption instead of production as the basis of the nation dividend. According to Prof. Fisher,
“The national dividend or income consists solely of services as received by ultimate consumers, whether from their material or from their human environment. Thus, a piano or an overcoat made for me this year is not a part of this year’s income, but an addition to capital. Only the services rendered to use during this year by these things are income.”

Thus, according to Fisher, the national income of country is determined not by its annual production, but by its annual consumption. Prof. Fisher’s definition is better than Dr. Marshall’s and Prof. Pigou’s is as much as it is nearer to the concept of economic welfare, because welfare depends upon the goods and services that are made available to the individuals of the community. But it is more difficult to have an idea of net consumption than net production.
Moreover, the life of durable goods which last beyond one year is very difficult to measure. Estimates are at best estimates and they can at times differ from the actual. Again, according to the Nobel Prize Winner Prof. Simon Kuznets, “It is the net output of commodities and services flowing during the year from the country’s productive system in the hands of the ultimate consumers or into the net addition to the country’s capital goods.”
Another Noble Prize Winner Prof. Samuelson says, “It is the loose name we give for the money measure of the overall annual flow of goods and services in an economy.” Prof. Ackley defines national income as the sum of all:
(a) Wages, salaries, commissions, bonuses, and other forms of employee earnings;
(b) Net income from rentals and royalties;
(c) Interest income, and
(d) Profits.
However, none of these definitions suited Keynes as he wanted to know the factors that go to determine the level of income and employment in an economy at a particular time. He wanted to know the considerations that weight with the entrepreneurs when they decide to employ a certain number of men.

However, it may be noted that the suitability of any particular definition depends upon the purpose, for which, it is to be used. Keynes himself said, “One thing which impeded my progress in writing the ‘General Theory’ was the suitable definition of national Income.” Keynes defines income in such a manner as enables him to determine employment in a community
It is in this respect that his definition differed from those of his predecessors, as their definitions did not throw any light on the factors which go to determine income or its relation with employment; this purpose was amply achieved in the definition adopted by Keynes.

Keynes’ Approach:

Keynes wanted to know the factors that determine the level of income and employment in an economy. Keys gave the following approaches to National income:
·         Aggregate Expenditure oe Aggregate Consumption and Investment approach
·         Factor income approach
·         User Cost approach

The Aggregate Expenditure Approach: This approach measures the aggregate expenditure on consumption and Investment. Thus,

Y=C+I

The Factor Income Approach: This approach measures the total income received by all the factors of Production. Thus it is the sum of the receipts of the factors of production in the form of wages, salaries, profits, interest and rent.

The user Cost approach: The third approach is called user cost approach. This is also known as sale proceeds minus cost approach. Keynes did not deduct the depreciation charges from GNP but only a part of the depreciation which is known as user cost is deducted. The user cost is the difference between the depreciation in the value of a machine when it is put to use plus the expenditure which is required for the maintenance of the machine. Thus,

U= D1- (D2+Em)

Where
U = User Cost
D1= Depreciation when Machine in Use
D2=Depreciation when machine is idle
Em= Maintenance Cost

Keynes said that D2 is lower than D1 that is depreciation will be more when machine is in use. National income as per Keynes’ approach will be equivalent to the amount when the user cost U is deducted from gross national product.

Y= A-U
Where;
Y= National Income
A= GNP
U= User Cost
According to Keynes the concept of Net Income is more important for analysis of consumption. He deducts the supplementary cost (v) from the national income to arrive at net national income;
Yn= Y- (A-U) -V

The supplementary costs (v) are not always known in advance. These include many contingent costs like loss due to fire, natural calamities, obsolescence and so on According to Keynes employment is a function of gross national income and consumption is a function of net income.

In recent times many attempts have been made to make the national income analysis more dynamic and realistic. National income may be defined as aggregate factor income  which arises from current production of goods and services in an economy. National income committee of India defines, A national income estimate measures the volume of commodities and services turned out during a period, counted without duplication,” There is a circular flow of income. In modern complex economy production takes place as a result of cooperation among various factors of production. These different factors of production receive payments in the form of rent, wages, interest, salary and profit. Owners of the resources not only supply resources to firms but also consume the final output as consumers in the economy.  Thus income received as resource suppliers is spent back on the purchase of final output. Consumers’ spending are business earning. Income is earned in the form of Money, hence income flow and money flow are the same thing. In a barter economy where money is not used there will be now of flow of money. In such economy there will be only real flows
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